Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | +0.1 | ✓ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +15 (73-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Watford | 35 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J. Hulls | 34 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| V. Jones III | 34 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 7-8 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| D. Elston | 25 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Rivers | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Capobianco | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| T. Pritchard | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Dumes | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -5 | - |
| T. Jobe | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Moore | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Barnett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Bawa | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Finkelmeier | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Shurna | 36 | 5-13 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| M. Thompson | 35 | 6-15 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| J. Nash | 34 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| D. Curletti | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| A. Marcotullio | 20 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| L. Mirkovic | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| D. Crawford | 17 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Capocci | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| K. Rowley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Hearn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Peljusic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Fruendt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter