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2010-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 35.1% 64.9% -
Bradley-Terry 30.1% 69.9% -
Margin 19.8% 80.2% +7.7 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 33.1% 66.9% -
Efficiency 4.5% 95.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.1% 86.9% -
Log Adjusted 12.9% 87.1% -

Actual: Florida Gators +9 (78-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Reed 40 6-17 1-6 5-5 4 5 0 0 2 18 8 -
T. Waller 35 0-6 0-5 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 0 -2 -
F. Sullivan 35 11-18 3-9 2-3 4 0 2 2 1 27 16 -
L. Hargrove 27 5-11 0-3 1-2 9 1 1 0 2 11 9 -
B. Knox 22 2-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 1 5 7 -
K. Gabriel 13 3-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 6 1 -
J. Lett 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
T. Armstrong 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
E. Ross 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Malone 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Neysmith 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Parsons 34 7-12 3-4 4-5 6 2 0 0 2 21 15 -
E. Walker 32 0-4 0-2 6-6 7 6 0 0 1 6 14 -
A. Tyus 29 11-16 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 2 2 24 15 -
V. Macklin 29 4-8 0-0 2-3 2 2 3 1 1 10 9 -
D. Werner 28 1-3 1-1 2-2 7 2 0 0 1 5 10 -
K. Boynton 27 3-9 3-7 0-1 0 2 0 0 0 9 2 -
R. Shipman 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
E. Murphy 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter