🐻⬇️🏀

UCLA Bruins 75
@
Arizona Wildcats 69
2010-03-11

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 11.4% 88.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 94.2% 5.8% - ✓
Margin 53.6% 46.4% -0.8 ✓ (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 36.3% 63.7% - ✗
Efficiency 12.8% 87.2% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 24.8% 75.2% - ✗
Log Adjusted 24.7% 75.3% - ✗

Actual: Arizona Wildcats -6 (69-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Dragovic 37 3-12 2-9 10-12 5 2 2 3 3 18 15 -
M. Roll 36 7-14 3-6 1-2 3 2 3 1 2 18 11 -
M. Lee 34 2-5 1-2 4-4 4 3 0 0 1 9 10 -
R. Nelson 32 8-9 0-0 3-6 10 3 0 0 2 19 21 -
J. Anderson 27 2-4 0-1 1-1 2 4 0 0 1 5 6 -
T. Honeycutt 20 3-3 0-0 0-0 7 2 3 1 2 6 14 -
B. Lane 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 0 -3 -
M. Abdul-Hamid 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Williams 34 5-15 0-3 4-4 8 1 1 0 5 14 4 -
K. Fogg 34 4-12 1-5 1-2 3 3 0 1 2 10 3 -
N. Wise 33 5-12 1-4 5-5 3 1 1 0 1 16 8 -
S. Hill 27 3-5 0-0 2-4 7 1 2 0 1 8 12 -
L. Jones 20 3-9 0-2 1-1 1 1 1 0 1 7 0 -
J. Horne 19 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 3 -1 -
K. Parrom 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
B. Lavender 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
A. Jacobson 6 0-0 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
K. Natyazhko 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter