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2010-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons Wyoming Cowboys Spread Result
Elo 9.5% 90.5% -
Bradley-Terry 18.5% 81.5% -
Margin 11.7% 88.3% +11.1 (30.1 off)
Pythagorean 28.8% 71.2% -
Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.8% 68.2% -
Log Adjusted 31.9% 68.1% -

Actual: Wyoming Cowboys -19 (40-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Lyons 38 5-11 1-5 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 11 7 -
E. Washington 37 2-7 0-2 2-2 4 3 0 0 4 6 2 -
G. Parker 32 6-10 2-5 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 15 8 -
A. Merriex 22 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 0 4 -
T. Fletcher 19 3-5 2-4 1-1 2 2 1 0 0 9 9 -
M. McLain 19 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 6 4 -
T. Fow 17 3-7 1-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 9 5 -
D. Brooks 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
M. Fitzgerald 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Broekhuis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

Wyoming Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Jackson 39 7-9 0-1 4-7 5 2 1 1 7 18 11 -
R. Dermody 35 2-9 2-9 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 -1 -
D. Thiam 33 1-4 0-1 0-1 5 0 2 0 1 2 4 -
A. Waddell 30 4-5 0-0 4-7 4 0 0 1 0 12 12 -
D. Harrison 30 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 1 -
A. M'Baye 17 1-2 0-1 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Bouedo 16 0-2 0-2 0-2 2 2 0 0 3 0 -1 -

* = starter