Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | SE Louisiana Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.9% | 77.1% | +6.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SE Louisiana Lions +1 (79-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. White | 43 | 6-14 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9 | - |
| J. Rybak | 42 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| U. Segura | 34 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | - |
| C. Johnson | 32 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 17 | - |
| T. Bishop | 24 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| E. Bidias a Moute | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Sloan | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Bowman | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Hale | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SE Louisiana Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Fortenberry | 42 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| P. Sullivan | 41 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| J. Marks | 39 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 31 | - |
| T. Hutchin | 35 | 8-16 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 6 | - |
| G. Dixon | 34 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| D. Patterson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| R. Tibbs | 12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| S. Burches | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Ndoumba | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter