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2010-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Grambling Tigers Jackson State Tigers Spread Result
Elo 45.2% 54.8% -
Bradley-Terry 34.1% 65.9% -
Margin 20.8% 79.2% +7.4 (15.4 off)

Actual: Jackson State Tigers -8 (57-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Grambling Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Qualls 39 5-12 4-9 6-8 1 2 3 0 2 20 12 -
K. Loyd 31 2-2 2-2 1-2 4 2 0 0 1 7 10 -
R. Harris 25 1-2 0-0 6-8 7 0 0 0 1 8 12 -
R. Rose 23 2-12 2-5 7-8 4 2 1 0 2 13 6 -
A. Saint-Gelais 20 2-3 0-0 2-3 4 1 0 0 0 6 8 -
A. Perkins 15 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
G. Akpele 13 0-2 0-0 2-8 6 0 0 0 0 2 6 -
T. Bryson 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
G. Dillon 11 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 2 0 -
T. Young-Canty 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Jackson State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Johnson 38 7-24 2-7 11-16 6 0 0 1 1 27 9 -
R. Melvin 36 4-8 1-2 3-6 3 2 3 0 2 12 10 -
T. Hanson 34 1-9 1-6 6-6 11 4 2 2 2 9 17 -
D. Dixon 33 0-5 0-3 1-4 12 1 1 0 2 1 8 -
C. Burk 20 1-4 0-1 1-2 3 0 2 0 0 3 4 -
P. Williams 20 0-2 0-0 0-2 5 0 1 0 1 0 3 -
G. Blake 9 0-0 0-0 1-4 3 0 0 0 2 1 2 -
O. Jefferson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Gregory 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 -
C. Williams 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
J. Lewis 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter