Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders +12 (78-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gibson | 37 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| O. Johnson | 36 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| T. Fields | 32 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| M. Smith IV | 31 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| D. Stepter | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| M. Johnson III | 15 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Bonney | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Jackson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Palmer | 31 | 8-12 | 2-5 | 8-11 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 24 | - |
| S. Coombs | 30 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| L. Drake | 27 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D. Watt | 26 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| H. Bond | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Reynolds | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Taleyah Jones | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| F. Toncinic | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Nelson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Hammonds | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter