Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✗ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters -4 (69-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Keeler | 38 | 5-15 | 1-7 | 16-18 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 20 | - |
| D. Hanson | 36 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| C. Anderson | 32 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Lewis | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Odister | 21 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| S. Lewis | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| R. Darling | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| W. Taylor | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Rembert | 38 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| D. Moore | 37 | 7-11 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| E. Wise | 35 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | - |
| M. Hunter | 28 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| A. Folker | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Z. Atkinson | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Wilder | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| E. Kim | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Flowers | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter