Model Predictions
| Model | East Carolina Pirates | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.6% | 94.4% | +15.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars +13 (93-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Young | 37 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 15 | - |
| D. Morrow | 35 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| E. Straughn | 34 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| D. Joyner | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Gaines | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Sherrod | 19 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Abrams | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| W. Ellison | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Coleman | 36 | 9-20 | 4-6 | 7-11 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 18 | - |
| K. Lewis | 33 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| M. McNeil | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| D. Wade | 24 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| K. Washington | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| S. Coleman | 18 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Z. Nixon | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K. Van Slyke | 15 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| N. Haywood | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Brown | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Clark | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Broughton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter