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2010-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 33.8% 66.2% -
Bradley-Terry 25.4% 74.6% -
Margin 12.9% 87.1% +10.5 (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 33.3% 66.7% -
Efficiency 34.3% 65.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.7% 85.3% -
Log Adjusted 14.5% 85.5% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals -3 (66-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Gates 36 6-13 0-0 4-4 5 1 0 0 1 16 8 -
L. Stephenson 29 4-11 0-1 4-6 4 3 0 0 3 12 5 -
D. Vaughn 28 2-9 2-5 4-4 4 1 2 0 2 10 6 -
J. Parker 28 3-5 0-1 2-3 9 3 2 0 1 8 16 -
D. Wilks 24 5-11 2-4 0-1 7 1 0 1 0 12 10 -
C. Wright 20 1-6 0-2 1-4 5 2 0 0 2 3 2 -
I. Thomas 17 4-10 0-2 0-0 8 0 1 0 2 8 5 -
L. Davis 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Dixon 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Toyloy 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
A. McClain 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Knowles 35 1-12 1-6 0-0 1 3 2 0 0 3 -3 -
E. Sosa 32 10-16 5-6 3-8 6 3 0 0 2 28 19 -
S. Samuels 31 5-9 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 4 13 4 -
R. Delk 30 5-5 4-4 2-2 4 3 0 1 1 16 18 -
J. Swopshire 24 0-4 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 0 2 -
T. Jennings 16 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 2 1 4 6 -
K. Kuric 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 -
R. Buckles 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
P. Siva 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 2 0 3 -
M. Marra 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter