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2010-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 50.3% 49.7% -
Bradley-Terry 49.4% 50.6% -
Margin 44.5% 55.5% +1.2 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% -
Efficiency 43.7% 56.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.9% 57.1% -
Log Adjusted 42.7% 57.3% -

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears -5 (63-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Johnson 36 5-12 2-5 7-8 3 3 3 1 5 19 12 -
W. Cherry 32 4-12 0-3 2-4 2 4 2 1 2 10 5 -
B. Qvale 31 4-7 0-0 1-3 6 1 0 3 4 9 8 -
R. Staudacher 29 4-5 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 10 6 -
V. Banny 23 1-1 0-0 2-2 8 1 1 0 0 4 13 -
D. Selvig 21 3-8 0-1 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
M. Taylor 16 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
R. Young 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
J. McGillis 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Figures 36 7-17 4-8 5-6 5 5 2 0 3 23 15 -
Y. Bonner 32 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 5 5 -
T. Montgomery 30 3-7 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 8 5 -
M. Proctor 29 5-7 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 1 2 10 11 -
C. Kaba 29 3-6 1-1 2-4 2 2 1 1 4 9 5 -
E. Lloyd 22 1-6 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 0 -
N. Kingman 19 2-4 1-3 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
H. Brereton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter