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2010-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 39.9% 60.1% -
Bradley-Terry 51.4% 48.6% -
Margin 52.8% 47.2% -0.6 (15.6 off)
Pythagorean 37.4% 62.6% -
Efficiency 56.9% 43.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.0% 89.0% -
Log Adjusted 11.0% 89.0% -

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +15 (67-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hannah 37 4-8 4-7 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 12 9 -
G. Hatch 34 2-9 2-7 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 8 3 -
J.T. Durley 33 2-5 0-1 1-1 6 1 0 0 8 5 -1 -
T. Murry 31 2-8 0-2 2-2 7 1 0 0 2 6 4 -
G. Stutz 19 4-10 1-2 2-4 6 2 0 2 3 11 8 -
D. Williams 19 2-7 2-5 2-4 0 1 0 0 0 8 2 -
G. Blair 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
A. Ellis 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Ahelegbe 28 5-10 2-3 12-14 5 0 2 0 2 24 19 -
A. Koch 25 0-3 0-1 0-1 4 0 0 2 1 0 2 -
J. Moran 23 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 3 0 -
A. Farokhmanesh 23 2-7 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 5 3 -
J. Eglseder 22 3-8 0-0 4-5 4 1 2 5 0 10 14 -
J. Koch 21 5-7 3-4 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 13 12 -
K. Dunham 20 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 3 6 -
M. Sonnen 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
L. O'Rear 14 1-1 1-1 1-3 2 1 1 0 0 4 7 -
A. James 9 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -

* = starter