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2010-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 53.7% 46.3% -
Bradley-Terry 26.6% 73.4% -
Margin 20.5% 79.5% +7.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 33.7% 66.3% -
Efficiency 2.5% 97.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.1% 93.9% -
Log Adjusted 6.1% 93.9% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +8 (74-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Boynton 35 5-14 1-5 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 11 0 -
C. Parsons 34 2-6 0-1 5-8 6 4 1 0 5 9 9 -
E. Walker 31 3-15 2-8 0-0 8 4 0 0 2 8 3 -
V. Macklin 26 4-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 2 1 8 8 -
D. Werner 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 0 6 -
A. Tyus 23 4-9 1-1 3-7 5 0 1 1 2 12 8 -
E. Murphy 17 4-6 0-0 1-3 6 0 1 0 0 9 10 -
R. Shipman 9 3-4 0-0 3-3 2 0 0 0 0 9 7 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Patterson 38 4-9 1-2 4-4 5 0 4 2 1 13 14 -
J. Wall 35 4-10 1-4 2-6 2 8 0 0 3 11 8 -
E. Bledsoe 29 4-5 1-2 5-6 3 1 0 0 3 14 10 -
D. Miller 26 5-7 3-5 1-2 4 2 0 0 2 14 11 -
D. Cousins 22 2-8 0-0 4-6 7 0 1 2 0 8 10 -
D. Orton 13 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 4 2 2 7 -
D. Dodson 11 3-3 2-2 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 10 11 -
P. Stevenson 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Liggins 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Harris 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Krebs 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter