Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.3% | 64.7% | +3.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +2 (86-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Lewis | 44 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 10 | - |
| M. Gerrity | 43 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 39 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| M. Johnson | 36 | 5-16 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| N. Vucevic | 30 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Simmons | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Smith | 20 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Washington | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Rozitis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Wise | 44 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | - |
| J. Horne | 43 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| S. Hill | 43 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| D. Williams | 40 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| K. Fogg | 39 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 11-15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 12 | - |
| L. Jones | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Jacobson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Lavender | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Natyazhko | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter