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2010-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Wichita State Shockers Spread Result
Elo 44.2% 55.8% -
Bradley-Terry 23.1% 76.9% -
Margin 12.2% 87.8% +10.9 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% -
Efficiency 18.9% 81.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.1% 74.9% -
Log Adjusted 25.0% 75.0% -

Actual: Wichita State Shockers +4 (65-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Eldridge 37 2-10 1-4 3-4 6 2 1 0 2 8 5 -
D. Odiakosa 35 5-10 0-0 5-13 6 0 2 0 4 15 9 -
L. Phillips 34 5-9 3-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 13 4 -
A. Hill 23 2-3 0-0 3-4 0 5 1 0 2 7 8 -
J. Carmichael 20 3-4 0-0 2-3 6 0 0 2 1 8 11 -
A. Rubin 19 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 3 0 -
T. Lewis 16 2-4 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 5 6 -
J. Clark 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Thornton 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Mishler 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Murry 36 6-9 2-4 3-4 2 3 1 1 1 17 14 -
C. Hannah 36 3-10 0-2 2-2 3 2 2 1 1 8 5 -
G. Stutz 25 6-11 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 12 5 -
D. Williams 24 4-7 2-3 2-2 0 0 2 0 2 12 5 -
G. Hatch 24 1-4 0-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
J.T. Durley 23 2-4 0-1 5-9 2 0 0 0 3 9 4 -
G. Blair 17 1-2 0-0 3-3 4 0 2 2 0 5 11 -
A. Ellis 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
B. Mayes 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter