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2010-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 30.3% 69.7% -
Bradley-Terry 46.0% 54.0% -
Margin 42.5% 57.5% +1.7 (16.7 off)
Pythagorean 63.7% 36.3% -
Efficiency 74.6% 25.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.7% 16.3% -
Log Adjusted 84.1% 15.9% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -15 (57-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Taylor 40 8-17 3-6 1-2 8 3 1 0 0 20 15 -
J. Bohannon 40 1-6 1-3 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 4 -1 -
K. Nankivil 36 4-10 1-3 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 9 8 -
J. Leuer 26 8-13 0-1 4-6 4 2 0 0 1 20 12 -
T. Hughes 22 4-12 1-4 5-8 11 0 0 0 0 14 13 -
R. Evans 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 0 7 -
T. Jarmusz 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
R. Wilson 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Bruesewitz 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Davis 34 3-9 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 1 6 5 -
D. McCamey 32 2-8 0-2 7-8 4 4 0 0 3 11 8 -
B. Cole 30 4-6 4-6 2-2 4 0 0 1 0 14 13 -
M. Tisdale 29 4-6 0-0 8-8 4 1 1 1 2 16 15 -
D.J. Richardson 28 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -
B. Paul 21 1-7 1-4 2-3 5 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
D. Keller 12 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 1 2 1 -1 -
J. Jordan 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Griffey 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 4 -
B. Chisholm 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
R. Semrau 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter