Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | +5.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +12 (73-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Sullivan | 35 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| T. Waller | 32 | 8-21 | 4-12 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 7 | - |
| L. Hargrove | 30 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Reed | 27 | 5-19 | 2-6 | 5-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | -1 | - |
| J. Lett | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Armstrong | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Knox | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| E. Ross | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Wallace | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Gabriel | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Malone | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Brock | 34 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| M. Torrance | 32 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 19 | - |
| C. Hines | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| S. Hillman | 24 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 24 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| J. Knox | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Davis | 18 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J. Green | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
| G. Cage | 5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Dixon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Eblen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter