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2010-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 37.3% 62.7% -
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% -
Margin 21.2% 78.8% +7.2 (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% -
Efficiency 65.1% 34.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.1% 76.9% -
Log Adjusted 23.3% 76.7% -

Actual: Baylor Bears +15 (92-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Johnson 38 10-15 0-0 5-5 8 1 0 1 4 25 16 -
A. Bradley 36 1-6 0-1 2-2 4 2 1 1 4 4 2 -
J. Brown 32 2-7 2-6 2-2 1 6 1 0 2 8 7 -
J. Hamilton 31 7-13 3-8 1-1 0 3 0 2 3 18 7 -
D. James 31 6-10 0-2 6-7 8 0 0 2 3 18 15 -
D. Pittman 14 2-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 1 1 4 5 -
J. Mason 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. Chapman 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Carter 38 5-13 1-6 5-6 4 10 2 0 1 16 18 -
E. Udoh 37 4-9 0-0 0-0 6 5 3 0 2 8 11 -
L. Dunn 37 10-19 4-7 6-6 6 1 1 0 3 30 16 -
Q. Acy 29 12-15 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 0 24 16 -
A.J. Walton 24 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 6 1 1 1 2 8 -
A. Jones 20 4-6 0-2 0-1 2 1 2 1 0 8 8 -
J. Lomers 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 3 1 1 2 7 -
F. Ellis 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
G. Crump 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Dennis 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
O. Griffin 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Sekelja 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Jefferson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter