Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.6% | 84.4% | +9.3 | ✓ (22.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +32 (82-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Singler | 37 | 8-17 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 11 | - |
| J. Scheyer | 36 | 4-14 | 3-10 | 9-9 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - |
| N. Smith | 35 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 19 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Thomas | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Dawkins | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R. Kelly | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Davidson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Peters | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Jackson | 0 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J. Thomas | 0 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. Cheek | 0 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 0 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 10-13 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| K. Thomas | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter