Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.8% | 88.2% | +11.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +21 (81-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jones | 36 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 7 | - |
| N. Larson | 31 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 23 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| G. Rogers | 22 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -6 | - |
| D. Jones | 22 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| S. Saldivar | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Olubuyi | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Lepley | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Wallace | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Dunn | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Trinh | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Flores | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 34 | 8-12 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| W. Cherry | 32 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| B. Qvale | 29 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| R. Staudacher | 26 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Selvig | 24 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. McGillis | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Taylor | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Young | 12 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| M. Ward | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| V. Banny | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Stockton | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter