Model Predictions
| Model | Portland State Vikings | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.0% | 58.0% | +1.3 | ✗ (4.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.9% | 63.1% | +2.9 | ✗ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats -3 (65-68). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Jones | 40 | 5-9 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Dominic Waters | 40 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Julius Thomas | 37 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Paul Guede | 26 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jamie Jones | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Phillip Thomas | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Chris Harriel | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Alonzo Brandon | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Rush | 38 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Bobby Howard | 34 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Danny Piepoli | 32 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Branden Johnson | 31 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Marquis Navarre | 28 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Will Bynum | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Cameron Henderson | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Austin Brown | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter