Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.3% | 69.7% | +4.6 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +16 (64-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harris | 33 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Z. Novak | 32 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Morris | 31 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | - |
| S. Douglass | 31 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Sims | 30 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Z. Gibson | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| L. Lucas-Perry | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Wright | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Vogrich | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Person | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Morgan | 32 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 21 | - |
| K. Lucas | 30 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| C. Allen | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| K. Lucious | 23 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | - |
| D. Summers | 19 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Green | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Roe | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D. Nix | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Thornton | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Sherman | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| T. Herzog | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Kebler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Crandell | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter