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2010-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 11.0% 89.0% -
Bradley-Terry 34.1% 65.9% -
Margin 26.4% 73.6% +5.7 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 12.2% 87.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans -5 (54-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Morgan 32 10-15 0-0 2-3 10 2 4 1 3 22 21 -
K. Lucas 30 2-8 0-0 6-8 3 2 2 0 2 10 7 -
C. Allen 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 0 7 -
K. Lucious 23 1-8 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 3 -4 -
D. Summers 19 3-6 2-2 0-0 2 0 3 0 2 8 5 -
D. Green 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 1 2 2 3 -
I. Dahlman 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 4 2 -
D. Roe 12 3-4 0-0 4-4 4 1 1 0 2 10 10 -
D. Nix 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 4 4 -
A. Thornton 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
G. Sherman 4 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
T. Herzog 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Kebler 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Crandell 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Jefferson 0 10-16 2-2 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 23 11 -
L. Aitch 0 1-6 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 1 2 2 -1 -
B. Thomas 0 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 1 5 8 5 -
J. Thomas 0 0-4 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 2 1 -
L. Johnson 0 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 4 -

* = starter