Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.5% | 75.5% | +6.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +8 (88-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Shurna | 45 | 12-21 | 3-9 | 4-7 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 25 | - |
| M. Thompson | 45 | 8-19 | 7-16 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 14 | - |
| L. Mirkovic | 43 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| J. Nash | 42 | 1-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Marcotullio | 24 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| D. Crawford | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Capocci | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Curletti | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Fruendt | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hulls | 44 | 8-13 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 15 | - |
| V. Jones III | 41 | 6-16 | 0-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 9 | - |
| C. Watford | 40 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| D. Elston | 27 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| B. Capobianco | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| J. Rivers | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Pritchard | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D. Dumes | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Jobe | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Moore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Gambles | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Finkelmeier | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter