Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | -1.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -7 (84-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hunter | 43 | 6-12 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| P. Rembert | 42 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 9-10 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| E. Wise | 41 | 5-15 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| D. Moore | 37 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 8-10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Z. Atkinson | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| E. Kim | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Folker | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| M. Wilder | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hanson | 42 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| S. Lewis | 41 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 11-13 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 23 | - |
| C. Anderson | 40 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| L. Keeler | 39 | 5-21 | 3-12 | 8-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 4 | - |
| J. Lewis | 31 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Odister | 15 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| R. Darling | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| W. Taylor | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter