Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.4% | 47.6% | -0.5 | ✗ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Payne | 37 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 11 | - |
| D. Calegari | 36 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| T. Lowenthal | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| J. Harden | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| J. Welch | 18 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| A. Malik | 15 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| R. Sypkens | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| J. Ranger | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Howley | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Daniels | 38 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 12-14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 21 | - |
| L. Daniel | 34 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 21 | - |
| W. Galick | 32 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 10-14 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 19 | - |
| V. McGhee | 23 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| R. Cody | 20 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| D. Lyles | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Taylor | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| V. Cordell | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Menner | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Osunsanmi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter