🐻⬇️🏀

@
2010-03-04

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies Cal State Northridge Matadors Spread Result
Elo 59.4% 40.6% -
Bradley-Terry 55.0% 45.0% -
Margin 52.4% 47.6% -0.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 56.2% 43.8% -
Efficiency 49.4% 50.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.1% 43.9% -
Log Adjusted 55.6% 44.4% -

Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Payne 37 4-10 1-3 9-10 5 3 2 0 7 18 11 -
D. Calegari 36 4-12 2-7 4-4 5 0 3 3 0 14 13 -
T. Lowenthal 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 0 9 -
J. Harden 29 5-11 0-0 4-5 5 2 1 0 4 14 7 -
J. Welch 18 2-9 0-4 4-4 1 1 0 0 1 8 0 -
A. Malik 15 3-6 1-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 7 3 -
R. Sypkens 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -2 -
J. Ranger 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
R. Howley 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 2 -

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Daniels 38 7-13 0-2 12-14 4 2 4 0 2 26 21 -
L. Daniel 34 8-13 0-0 1-3 15 0 1 4 3 17 21 -
W. Galick 32 4-12 0-0 10-14 14 1 1 0 3 18 19 -
V. McGhee 23 2-5 2-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 6 1 -
R. Cody 20 0-7 0-3 1-2 2 1 2 0 1 1 -2 -
D. Lyles 20 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 0 0 -
T. Taylor 17 0-2 0-0 2-3 1 1 0 1 3 2 0 -
V. Cordell 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 0 4 -
K. Menner 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Osunsanmi 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter