Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.6% | 61.4% | +2.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +4 (69-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Reed | 33 | 4-14 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| C. Richard | 30 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Lathan | 28 | 9-16 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 21 | - |
| H. Marshall | 25 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| A. Carter | 20 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| B. Leitnaker | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Printy | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Crawford | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Doluony | 11 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| I. Martin | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Eldridge | 36 | 5-17 | 1-6 | 6-8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 32 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - |
| L. Phillips | 32 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Rubin | 29 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| A. Hill | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| J. Carmichael | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| T. Lewis | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Thornton | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Clark | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter