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2010-03-04

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Arizona State Sun Devils Spread Result
Elo 64.1% 35.9% -
Bradley-Terry 38.5% 61.5% -
Margin 32.3% 67.7% +4.1 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.1% 60.9% -
Efficiency 54.7% 45.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.8% 82.2% -
Log Adjusted 17.7% 82.3% -

Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +5 (59-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Simmons 35 5-8 0-0 1-1 5 2 2 0 1 11 11 -
M. Gerrity 35 3-7 1-3 4-5 2 3 1 1 1 11 10 -
D. Lewis 33 4-11 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 9 1 -
M. Johnson 22 2-6 1-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
A. Stepheson 21 3-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 3 0 7 10 -
L. Washington 19 3-5 0-0 2-4 6 0 2 0 1 8 10 -
N. Vucevic 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 2 1 -
D. Smith 17 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -4 -

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Abbott 37 2-8 2-5 3-3 7 3 0 0 3 9 8 -
R. Kuksiks 36 8-13 6-9 2-2 5 1 3 0 0 24 20 -
D. Glasser 36 2-7 2-4 5-7 2 3 0 0 4 11 5 -
E. Boateng 31 2-3 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 2 2 5 11 -
J. Shipp 28 2-4 0-2 3-4 1 1 1 0 1 7 5 -
J. McMillan 17 1-4 1-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 3 5 -
T. Rohde 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Lockett 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter