Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.7% | 81.3% | +8.1 | ✗ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins -6 (81-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Florence | 40 | 8-17 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 14 | - |
| J. Smith | 37 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 6-9 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| D. Emerson | 36 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 21 | - |
| E.J. Kusnyer | 29 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Moore | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| B. Mills | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Hall | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Walker | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Clark | 36 | 7-15 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| K. Belcher | 26 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. House | 25 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Hanlen | 24 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| M. Hedgepeth | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Johnson | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Campbell | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| B. Baker | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Saunders | 11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| T. Noack | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter