Model Predictions
| Model | Grambling Tigers | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.0% | 89.0% | +11.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets +5 (81-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Grambling Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Qualls | 40 | 6-13 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 4 | - |
| K. Loyd | 38 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| R. Rose | 30 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 10-10 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 20 | - |
| G. Akpele | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Saint-Gelais | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Perkins | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Bryson | 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| R. Harris | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| G. Dillon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Wilkerson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mundadi | 34 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| T. Moorer | 32 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 8-12 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 27 | - |
| T. Butler | 29 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| A.J. Spencer | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| S. Milligen | 22 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. Middlebrooks | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| C. Duncan | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 3 | - |
| R. Sanders | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| B. Walker | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| S. Brown | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter