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2010-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Grambling Tigers Alabama State Hornets Spread Result
Elo 45.6% 54.4% -
Bradley-Terry 39.4% 60.6% -
Margin 31.8% 68.2% +4.2 (0.8 off)

Actual: Alabama State Hornets +5 (81-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Grambling Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Qualls 40 6-13 6-10 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 18 4 -
K. Loyd 38 1-5 1-4 2-2 0 2 4 0 4 5 2 -
R. Rose 30 4-9 1-2 10-10 7 3 3 0 3 19 20 -
G. Akpele 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 4 5 -
A. Saint-Gelais 19 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
A. Perkins 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 2 -
T. Bryson 5 2-3 1-1 2-3 0 0 1 0 0 7 5 -
R. Harris 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
G. Dillon 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Wilkerson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Alabama State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mundadi 34 7-12 4-7 3-5 5 1 2 0 3 21 14 -
T. Moorer 32 6-11 1-1 8-12 15 0 3 0 1 21 27 -
T. Butler 29 2-5 1-2 0-3 2 6 3 0 2 5 9 -
A.J. Spencer 23 1-2 0-1 3-4 1 5 1 0 1 5 9 -
S. Milligen 22 3-7 1-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 7 2 -
J. Middlebrooks 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 7 1 0 2 0 6 -
C. Duncan 14 3-4 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 1 6 8 3 -
R. Sanders 12 2-3 0-0 3-3 2 0 0 1 0 7 7 -
B. Walker 11 2-5 0-0 1-1 1 2 1 2 1 5 5 -
S. Brown 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter