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2010-03-04

Model Predictions

Model UNC Asheville Bulldogs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Spread Result
Elo 25.5% 74.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 15.3% 84.7% - โœ“
Margin 4.6% 95.4% +16.7 โœ“ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 19.5% 80.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 3.0% 97.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.8% 97.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 18.7% 81.3% - โœ“

Actual: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +19 (92-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.P. Primm 37 5-11 3-8 3-4 7 3 2 0 7 16 10 -
M. Dickey 36 5-12 0-5 2-2 4 2 1 0 1 12 6 -
S. Smith 33 5-12 2-5 3-4 6 0 1 0 3 15 7 -
J. Williams 32 4-9 0-1 5-5 5 1 0 4 1 13 13 -
C. Stephenson 22 2-10 0-4 0-0 6 5 1 1 0 4 7 -
D.J. Cunningham 19 1-5 0-0 1-1 5 0 1 3 2 3 5 -
J. Lane 15 3-4 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 2 6 1 -
Q. Jackson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
E. Stubbs 3 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Johnson 32 1-5 1-1 7-10 5 4 5 0 2 10 17 -
J. Harris 29 7-13 0-0 2-5 11 0 2 0 0 16 16 -
M. Edwards 29 5-11 2-5 1-3 8 2 1 1 5 13 9 -
D. Nieman 28 3-9 1-4 0-1 2 2 2 0 0 7 4 -
K. Greenwood 24 6-11 1-2 4-5 2 7 3 0 1 17 17 -
C. Gray 19 8-11 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 2 1 16 10 -
S. McLaurin 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 6 7 -
J. Pack 14 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
D. Moore 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
J. Griffin 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Lee 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Macellari 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Evans 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter