๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2010-06-29

Model Predictions

Model Las Vegas Aces Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 36.9% 63.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% - โœ“
Margin 36.6% 63.4% +3.0 โœ“ (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 47.8% 52.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.8% 55.2% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +14 (86-72). Ratings: 2011 season-end ratings.

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Becky Hammon * 31 7-10 4-4 6-6 1 0 0 0 3 24 12 -
Chamique Holdsclaw * 30 5-12 1-2 5-5 6 1 1 0 1 16 11 -
Michelle Snow * 30 3-8 0-0 3-4 5 1 0 0 1 9 6 -
Sophia Young-Malcolm * 26 2-7 0-3 3-4 4 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
Edwige Lawson-Wade * 17 0-4 0-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Roneeka Hodges 22 2-8 0-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 4 -5 -
Jayne Appel Marinelli 16 1-1 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 1 0 4 10 -
Helen Darling 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 2 1 -
Crystal Kelly 6 0-1 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Allie Quigley 5 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Swin Cash * 35 6-10 2-3 2-2 5 2 0 0 0 16 13 -
Lauren Jackson * 32 11-20 2-6 7-8 15 1 1 1 0 31 29 -
Tanisha Wright * 31 5-12 1-4 0-0 2 12 1 0 3 11 11 -
Svetlana Abrosimova * 29 5-7 0-1 1-3 0 2 1 0 1 11 6 -
Camille Smith * 21 2-4 0-1 2-4 6 0 1 0 1 6 8 -
Le'coe Willingham 16 4-8 1-4 2-2 3 1 0 1 0 11 8 -
Jana Vesela 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Alison Lacey 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Ashley Robinson 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -2 -
Abby Bishop 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter