Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | +5.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +3 (82-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 35 | 6-19 | 2-9 | 12-13 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 20 | - |
| P. Taylor | 35 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| T. Johnson | 31 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Dupree | 30 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| T. Smith | 22 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Bonner | 22 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Lilley | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Swanier | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 33 | - |
| S. Gruda | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 20 | - |
| A. Jones | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 26 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 25 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| T. White | 21 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Lawson | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Griffin | 8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Walker | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter