Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.6% | 78.4% | +7.1 | ✗ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners -7 (76-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. White | 36 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 9 | - |
| U. Segura | 35 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| C. Johnson | 34 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 23 | - |
| E. Bidias a Moute | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| J. Bowman | 20 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J.B. Conley | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Rybak | 15 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. Bishop | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Sloan | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Hale | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Johnson | 36 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Smith IV | 29 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| D. Gibson | 28 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| T. Fields | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 9 | - |
| M. Johnson III | 20 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| J. Bonney | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. Stepter | 16 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| L. Jackson | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| S. Paye | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Frohlich | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter