Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.5% | 53.5% | +0.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +9 (89-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bost | 39 | 8-13 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 20 | - |
| R. Johnson | 37 | 7-16 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 3 | - |
| B. Stewart | 36 | 5-14 | 4-11 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| J. Varnado | 34 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| K. Augustus | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| R. Osby | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| P. Turner | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Benock | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Waller | 38 | 8-15 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| D. Reed | 35 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| L. Hargrove | 31 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| E. Ross | 25 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Knox | 25 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 7-13 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 23 | - |
| F. Sullivan | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Lett | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Gabriel | 9 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Wallace | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Armstrong | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter