Model Predictions
| Model | Tulsa Shock | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.0% | 92.0% | +13.4 | ✓ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +32 (116-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Black | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Crossley | 25 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| A. Holt | 23 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| S. Dorrell | 22 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| J. Lacy | 22 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| N. Lacy | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Brown | 17 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| K. Braxton | 16 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| M. Jones | 10 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Ohlde | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| K. Swanier | 21 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Smith | 21 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| P. Taylor | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 22 | - |
| C. Dupree | 20 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| D. Bonner | 20 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 19 | 7-11 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| T. Johnson | 17 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| T. Lilley | 17 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| B. Smith | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Holmes | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter