Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✗ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +11 (99-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicky Anosike * | 36 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 32 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Candice Wiggins * | 29 | 5-12 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 28 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Monica Wright | 22 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Charde Houston | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Rashanda McCants | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 35 | 10-18 | 5-9 | 6-6 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 23 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 34 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 29 | 9-15 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 29 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 26 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Nicole Ohlde | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brooke Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Taylor Lilley | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sequoia Holmes | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter