Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.6% | 44.4% | -1.2 | ✗ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +1 (92-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 35 | 7-17 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| T. Smith | 33 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| P. Taylor | 31 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| T. Johnson | 30 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| C. Dupree | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| D. Bonner | 23 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| K. Swanier | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Smith | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| T. Lilley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Milton-Jones | 38 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| C. Parker | 35 | 8-20 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 18 | - |
| K. Toliver | 34 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| B. Lennox | 25 | 6-12 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| T. Thompson | 25 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| N. Quinn | 22 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| L. Wisdom-Hylton | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T. Penicheiro | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Riley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Mokango | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter