Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.0% | 69.0% | +4.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +13 (81-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roneeka Hodges * | 35 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 35 | 8-17 | 0-2 | 5-9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Edwige Lawson-Wade * | 33 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 32 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 25 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Ruth Riley | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Helen Darling | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Megan Frazee | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renee Montgomery * | 28 | 5-13 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 24 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Anete Jekabsone-Zogota * | 23 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Asjha Jones * | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tan White | 21 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin | 18 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| DeMya Walker | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Sandrine Gruda | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Kerri Gardin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Allison Hightower | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter