Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.4 | ✓ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +23 (97-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tangela Smith * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 24 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 19 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -4 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 22 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 20 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nicole Ohlde | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Sequoia Holmes | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Brooke Smith | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Taylor Lilley | 6 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanisha Wright * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Swin Cash * | 25 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Sue Bird * | 25 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Camille Smith * | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Lauren Jackson * | 20 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova | 26 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jana Vesela | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Abby Bishop | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter