Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.4% | 83.6% | +9.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +23 (97-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 24 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -1 | - |
| P. Taylor | 24 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| D. Bonner | 23 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| K. Swanier | 21 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. Dupree | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| T. Johnson | 19 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -4 | - |
| S. Holmes | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Smith | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T. Lilley | 6 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Wright | 28 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| S. Abrosimova | 26 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Cash | 25 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| S. Bird | 25 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| C. Little | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| L. Jackson | 21 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| J. Vesela | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| L. Willingham | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| A. Robinson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Bishop | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter