Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.6% | 77.4% | +6.8 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +1 (90-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Milton-Jones | 40 | 6-13 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| C. Parker | 37 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 17 | - |
| T. Thompson | 36 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| N. Quinn | 29 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| K. Toliver | 22 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T. Penicheiro | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | - |
| B. Lennox | 10 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| L. Wisdom-Hylton | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Riley | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 38 | 5-15 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | - |
| P. Taylor | 32 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Johnson | 31 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 28 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 7-7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 9 | - |
| D. Bonner | 28 | 9-13 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 23 | - |
| C. Dupree | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Swanier | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Holmes | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter