Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Jackson State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.4% | 41.6% | -1.9 | ✗ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Jackson State Tigers +3 (57-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Washington | 37 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 19 | - |
| A. Smith | 31 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -4 | - |
| G. Davis | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| T. Calvin | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | - |
| T. Kennedy | 19 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| R. Parks | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| T. Glass | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Collins | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Ootesey | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Barnett | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| G. Montgomery | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Jackson State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Melvin | 40 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| G. Johnson | 37 | 3-17 | 1-7 | 11-12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| D. Dixon | 35 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-5 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| C. Burk | 24 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| P. Williams | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| T. Hanson | 16 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -1 | - |
| G. Blake | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| O. Jefferson | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Gregory | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| D. Jones | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Swanier | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter