Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.4% | 75.6% | +6.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +6 (80-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Benn | 43 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 21 | - |
| T. Lewis | 42 | 5-17 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| A. Nelson | 41 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 4-10 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | - |
| D. Williamson | 31 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| R. Garrison | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Edwards | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| S. Gillette | 13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| E. Williams | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 38 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 12-15 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 35 | - |
| D. Needham | 37 | 4-19 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | -1 | - |
| S. Crawford | 34 | 9-17 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 20 | - |
| C. Nickerson | 32 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Johnson | 31 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| J. Turner | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | - |
| M. Evanovich | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Jordan | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Olander | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter