Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | -1.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +10 (92-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 6-18 | 4-9 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 11 | - |
| P. Taylor | 33 | 4-14 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 9 | - |
| T. Smith | 30 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| T. Johnson | 30 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| C. Dupree | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| D. Bonner | 21 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Lilley | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Anosike | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| R. Brunson | 34 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 22 | - |
| M. Wright | 26 | 12-23 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 13 | - |
| L. Whalen | 26 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| R. McCants | 23 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| C. Houston | 19 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 16 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| H. Maiga-Ba | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Q. Hollingsworth | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter