Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.1% | 58.9% | +2.0 | ✓ (21.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +23 (66-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Austin | 35 | 3-14 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| L. McMullan | 33 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| L. Gurganious | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| B. Hampton | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Veteto | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B. Dowdy | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Diggs | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. LoBue | 11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| R. Meo | 10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lowenthal | 38 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - |
| J. Harden | 37 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| M. Payne | 37 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| D. Calegari | 34 | 6-14 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 6 | - |
| R. Howley | 21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| R. Sypkens | 17 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| A. Malik | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Welch | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Floyd | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Ranger | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter