Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.9% | 36.1% | -3.1 | ✓ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -18 (49-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Scheyer | 33 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| K. Singler | 31 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 7-9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| N. Smith | 28 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| L. Thomas | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Dawkins | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| R. Kelly | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Davidson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| S. Johnson | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Zeglinski | 33 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Meyinsse | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| A. Sene | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| M. Farrakhan | 27 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -5 | - |
| J. Evans | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Jones | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| M. Scott | 12 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -7 | - |
| C. Baker | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| W. Sherrill | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| T. Spurlock | 5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| S. Tat | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Jonke | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter