Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.3% | 37.7% | -2.8 | ✗ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +10 (64-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Mitchell | 0 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Cheek | 0 | 4-15 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -3 | - |
| K. Thomas | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Jackson | 0 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Thomas | 0 | 4-16 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bursey | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Wood | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 15-17 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 22 | 15 | - |
| W. Rolle | 0 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| K. Gross | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter