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2010-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 54.1% 45.9% -2.0 โœ“ (0.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 51.1% 48.9% - โœ“
Margin 46.5% 53.5% +0.8 โœ— (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.0% 49.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 59.0% 41.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 58.9% 41.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 48.5% 51.5% - โœ—

Actual: UConn Huskies -2 (76-78). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Swopshire 32 3-11 2-5 0-0 5 3 2 1 1 8 7 -
Samardo Samuels 29 4-11 0-0 6-7 7 1 1 1 4 14 9 -
K. Kuric 24 4-5 2-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 10 9 -
J. Smith 22 4-5 1-2 3-3 0 1 2 0 3 12 7 -
E. Sosa 22 2-8 1-5 1-2 1 6 2 0 1 6 6 -
P. Knowles 18 5-7 2-4 0-0 2 0 3 1 1 12 10 -
R. Delk 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Peyton Siva 17 3-7 2-4 0-0 2 5 3 0 0 8 11 -
T. Jennings 13 3-5 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 3 1 6 3 -
R. Buckles 4 0-1 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
S. Van Treese 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Edwards 38 5-12 0-0 7-8 13 4 2 1 3 17 22 -
S. Robinson 37 5-8 0-1 4-6 13 1 2 1 5 14 18 -
Kemba Walker 37 7-16 4-7 10-10 4 3 0 2 1 28 20 -
Jerome Dyson 35 6-13 1-4 0-1 5 4 2 1 6 13 6 -
A. Oriakhi 21 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
C. Okwandu 16 0-2 0-0 0-2 8 0 0 1 2 0 5 -
D. Beverly 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 2 5 -
J. Coombs-McDaniel 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
A. Majok 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter