Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.7% | 73.3% | +5.6 | ✗ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies -2 (76-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Swopshire | 32 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Samuels | 29 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 9 | - |
| K. Kuric | 24 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Smith | 22 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| E. Sosa | 22 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| P. Knowles | 18 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| R. Delk | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Siva | 17 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| T. Jennings | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| R. Buckles | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Van Treese | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Edwards | 38 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 22 | - |
| S. Robinson | 37 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 18 | - |
| K. Walker | 37 | 7-16 | 4-7 | 10-10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 20 | - |
| J. Dyson | 35 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 6 | - |
| A. Oriakhi | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Okwandu | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D. Beverly | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Coombs-McDaniel | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Majok | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter