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2010-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 8.2% 91.8% -
Bradley-Terry 40.9% 59.1% -
Margin 38.2% 61.8% +2.6 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 37.7% 62.3% -
Efficiency 7.2% 92.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.4% 58.6% -
Log Adjusted 41.3% 58.7% -

Actual: USC Trojans -5 (44-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Tarver 32 6-9 0-0 3-7 4 0 2 0 1 15 11 -
J. Tarver 32 2-5 0-2 4-6 2 0 4 2 0 8 11 -
R. Schaftenaar 30 1-7 0-4 4-4 2 3 1 1 2 6 4 -
J. Burton 28 1-5 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 1 4 3 3 -
C. Haynes 25 4-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 8 6 -
J. Cunningham 21 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 3 0 3 2 1 -
D. Deane 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
K. McShane 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
O. Johnson 8 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 1 -
L. Wallace 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lewis 39 3-10 3-6 2-3 2 2 1 1 1 11 6 -
M. Gerrity 37 4-12 1-4 4-4 3 3 1 2 3 13 7 -
M. Johnson 28 1-6 0-2 1-3 5 0 1 1 7 3 -3 -
N. Vucevic 26 1-4 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 1 3 4 7 -
A. Stepheson 23 2-5 0-0 0-3 6 0 1 1 0 4 7 -
L. Washington 22 3-8 0-0 0-0 8 0 2 1 0 6 9 -
D. Smith 17 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 2 0 5 3 -3 -
M. Simmons 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter